Pages

Thursday 29 March 2012

Canadian Gurus - March '12

Red = consensus of 2 or more gurus
Green = top pick(s) for that guru

Irvin Michael, ABC Funds
  • Summary: typically an optimist, he claims to be a disciplined value investor. He has a particular focus on Oil, Gas and Mining companies, which make up 1/2 of several of his funds. It is easy to obtain information about his investments and rationale, because he goes into a lot of detail explaining it and makes his thoughts available on his website.
  • Picks: 
    • Daylight Energy, Savanah Energy, Flint Energy Services, Legacy were some of his PAST top picks and all have done extremely well.
    • Rona $9.73.  He currently believes that RONA is undervalued because it is below tangible book value, and Rona is refocused. 
    • Angle Energy $6.15. ABC recently got into this one. Nuttall calls it a "fantastically" run company & a BUY.
    • Twin Butte Energy $2.10.  A high dividend which Nuttall believes is sustainable due to low payout ratio. Nuttall likes the company but doesn't see a lot of growth (i.e. a good yield play)
Norman Rothery, Rothery Report
  • Summary: I don't think he has any assets under management (other than his own), as he makes some fees from the report he sells. He provides a lot of detailed rationale for his value picks in his Rothery Report, and has a phenomenal track record for that portfolio (33% annualized). I tend to scrutinize his picks and can find 1-3 per year that I like, often they have to have consensus with another guru
  • Picks: 
    • Unsure. I stopped paying for the report last year, so I'm not sure what his latest picks are. 
Eric Sprott, Sprott Assett Mgmt
  • Summary: He is a perma-bear with an excellent track record. But he is mainly in cash & precious metals right now.
  • Picks: 
    • Cash & Gold are the top held investments in all of his portfolios right now
    • SIlver. He calls silver the "investment of the decade". Prob worth owning some.
    • Glentel $5.45. This is the top stock holding in their Small Cap Fund & is also one of the top 4 picks for Donville/Kent. Stockchase has a lot of "TOP PICK" ratings for this one.
Eric Nuttall, Sprott Assett Mgmt
  • Summary: he's works with Eric on Sprott's Energy portfolio. 
  • picks: 
    • Angle Energy $6.58. A top pick. Also held by ABC Funds and Lemarche
    • Trican Well Services $20.00 . Top holding
    • Legacy Oil & Gas  $13.73. A top pick. Also held by ABC Funds
    • Painted Pony Petroleum $7.55. A top pick.
Norm Lamarche, Frontier Street Funds
  • Summary: introduced to us by Bob Thompson 
  • picks: 
    • Angle Energy $8.25. A top pick. Also held by ABC Funds and Nuttall
    • Trican Well Services $14.28. Top holding
    • Angle Energy
    • $6.15 - ABC, $6.58 - Sprott Energy, $8.25 - Frontier Street
    • Trican Well Services
    • ~$20.00 - Sprott Energy, $14.28 - Frontier Street

    Monday 19 March 2012

    Managers that beat the street consistently

    1. Warren Buffett (Berkshire Hathaway)
    2. Frank Mersch (Front St Canadian Hedge)
    3. David Tepper (Appaloosa Investment LP I)
    4. Westport Asset Management (Westport Fund)
    5. Norm Lamarche (Front Street Special Opportunities)
    6. Bruce Berkowitz (Fairholme Fund)
    7. Chuck Royce (Premier Fund)
    8. Jean Marie Eveillard (First Eagle Global Fund)
    9. Daniel Loeb (Master Fund)
    10. David Einhorn (Greenlight Re)
    11. Arnold Schneider (Schneider Small Cap Value Fund)
    12. Eric Sprott (Sprott Canadian Equity)
    13. James Barrow (Vanguard Selected Value Fund)
    14. Kevin MacLean (Sentry Precious Metals Growth)

    Guys who its hard to find historical results for but its probably safe to say they've consistently outperformed the markets: Seth Klarman, George Soros, and Jim Rogers.
    red = canadian

    Add the following names as individuals to read/listen to:
    Marc Faber
    Felix Zulauf
    Meryl Witmer
    Charlie Munger
    Seth Klarman
    Mohnish Pabrai
    Bill Gross
    Ray Dalio
    Mohamed El Erian
    David Rosenberg
    Nouriel Roubini
    Nassim Taleb
    Michael Burry
    George Soros
    Jim Rogers
    Joel Greenblatt
    Bob Farrell
    Eric Nuttall
    Hank Cunningham
    Li Kuan Yew
    Mark Carney, Julie Dixon, Jim Flaherty, Ed Clark, Craig Alexander, Christine Lagarde